Poll: Ruling alliance ahead of the opposition bloc in Turkey

According to a recent poll in Turkey, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) is likely to receive 33.6% of the votes in a parliamentary election, while its partner, the far right Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) may receive 9.1%, after undecided voters have been distributed.

The poll was conducted by MetroPOLL between 17-20 September with the participation of 2119 people in Turkey's 28 provinces.

The current support for AKP signifies a significant fall, down from 42.6% in the 2018 election. MHP is down from 11.1% in the previous election.

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The support for the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) is 24.8, up from 22.7 in 2018, while its partner in the opposition Nation's Alliance, Good Party, is likely to receive 12.2%, up from the previous 10%.

HDP likely to emerge as the third party

The pro-Kurdish opposition Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) may emerge as the third party in a parliamentary election with 13.9%, up from 11.7 in 2018, according to the poll.

HDP is currently faced with a closure case pending before the Turkish Constitutional Court.

The poll results do not signal much hope for the opposition Democracy and Progress Party (DEVA), led by former deputy prime minister Ali Babacan who left AKP in 2019 to found DEVA. The party would receive only 1.4% of the popular vote in a parliamentary election according to the poll.

The anti immigration and ultranationalist Victory Party is likely to receive 1%.

The poll puts the combined support for the ruling People's Alliance at close to 43%, while the opposition Nation's Alliance is likely to get a combined 37%.

The total support for the opposition would be over 50, though, with the votes received by HDP.